My son is on age. Played up in A in 6th grade (against 7th graders) Played AA on age his 7th grade year. Played AAA on age last year in 8th grade. Going to win an miaa championship for St Paul’s Varsity this year.
I forgot that it's that time of year when all the 9th grade dads predict their sons will make varsity in March.
Having sent two sons through MIAA schools, here is the general breakdown 8th grade elite starters - make varsity in 9th grade (rarely more than 6 per school, per year). 1-2 will contribute per team per year. 8th grade elite 2nd and 3rd line, AAAA and AAA starters - make JV in 9th grade as starters 8th grade AAAA and AAA backups - make up the JV bench in 9th grade 8th grade A, AA, and rec/new players - either plan on the Fresh/Soph team or are encouraged to pick another sport. A few make JV.
There is definitely some gray area and overlap (partly because club coaches are not the best talent evaluators, to say the least) but in general terms if your kid was "the best kid in AA in 8th grade" he is probably not going to make varsity as a freshman. Not in public school either.
I guess AAA starters in 8th grade could make St Pauls Varsity.
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