Playoff picture coming into focus on the back of my napkin.

BL gets the #1 seed if they beat MSJ today and St. Paul's on Tuesday.

St. Mary's gets the #2 seed if they can beat Severn at home. They are one game ahead of both Calvert Hall and Spalding. A BL and StM win will have them tied at 8-2 with BL holding the head to head. A loss by the Saints likely creates a 3 way tie at 7-3 with the Saints holding the edge over CHC, CHC over Spalding and Spalding over StM. Any idea how that tie breaker works in a 3 team tie?

Calvert Hall will secure the #3 seed if they can beat Loyola. With a loss, they likely drop to the 4.

Spalding needs a win vs. MSJ to wrap up the #4 seed. A Spalding and CHC win will leave them both at 7-3 with CHC holding the head to head tie breaker.

McDonogh can get to 6-4 with a win over Gilman and secure the #5 seed. A loss by the Eagles can create a three way tie if Severn and St. Paul's both lose. If SP beats BL in the finale, Severn is out and SP is in assuming St. Mary's beats Severn.

Severn is the likely #6 seed whether they win or lose vs. St. Mary's. They are rooting for both Calvert Hall and Boys' Latin.

St. Paul's needs to beat BL and needs StM to beat Severn to get in. If both of those happen, they get the #5 and McDonogh falls to the 6 as they will both finish 6-4 with SP owning the tie breaker. Severn would be out

Loyola needs to beat CHC and then needs a lot of help. They need Severn to lose to St. Mary's and need BL to beat St. Paul's. This would create a 3 way tie at 5-5 with the Dons holding the head to head over both Severn and SP.

Assuming the following, it will be #5 McDonogh at #4 Spalding with the winner meeting #1 Boy's Latin at Navy in the semis. The other bracket will be #6 Severn at #3 Calvert Hall with the winner facing St. Mary's in the other semifinal.

BL over MSJ
CHC over Loyola
St. Mary's over Severn
Spalding over MSJ
McDonogh over Gilman
BL over St. Paul's