If its true that 16/18 MD kids are holdbacks, then its very hard to dispute that the older kids have an incredible advantage over the younger ones in any given graduation year. The younger ones will have to wait a year or two to "round out" recruiting classes in Junior/Senior years or hope that sophomore summers go VERY well and that they have matured by then. Interesting. I bet in the end the good ones never get missed and that the process is just harder for younger kids. Such is life I guess.